Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 54.489934 62.338771 70.411688 79.300492 88.779144 98.553139 109.362458
2025-12-14 41.989245 53.056126 65.020852 78.769950 93.996133 110.219627 128.694536
2025-12-21 33.662063 46.196820 60.299824 77.033109 96.066737 116.800553 140.863616
2025-12-28 30.086672 44.118167 60.402201 80.185658 103.120196 128.485442 158.298590
2026-01-04 26.528968 41.552416 59.518806 81.830349 108.140461 137.628037 172.664370
2026-01-11 22.561778 38.014691 57.101032 81.345590 110.426272 143.443793 183.083548
2026-01-18 19.235454 34.923649 54.931588 80.899154 112.539414 148.884503 192.921850
2026-01-25 16.774629 32.714768 53.658737 81.367725 115.592949 155.299234 203.780562
2026-02-01 14.216807 30.082303 51.625654 80.713650 117.151195 159.850983 212.389408
2026-02-08 12.202566 28.006343 50.157700 80.635125 119.300218 165.014990 221.641602
2026-02-15 10.173602 25.656505 48.142316 79.711101 120.294914 168.718328 229.109462
2026-02-22 8.990709 24.511290 47.700268 80.765240 123.697148 175.268844 239.906703
2026-03-01 7.991629 23.575686 47.516123 82.158140 127.555067 182.426234 251.510872
2026-03-08 6.529901 21.618026 45.720841 81.297357 128.491242 185.995801 258.818952
2026-03-15 5.082732 19.417196 43.396206 79.586938 128.239248 188.035652 264.230657
2026-03-22 4.830852 19.553868 44.627213 82.785904 134.334885 197.890223 279.055092
2026-03-29 4.304855 19.033223 44.789430 84.461790 138.430314 205.264500 290.884170
2026-04-05 3.454758 17.630562 43.460732 83.968080 139.637903 209.023419 298.312439
2026-04-12 2.730515 16.334310 42.207426 83.513770 140.848432 212.751419 305.677456
2026-04-19 2.236527 15.483421 41.628384 83.990660 143.266720 217.973200 314.852253
2026-04-26 1.675311 14.251680 40.310790 83.324952 144.112517 221.186233 321.547261
2026-05-03 1.267961 13.308732 39.421976 83.245027 145.713889 225.331593 329.371306
2026-05-10 0.859823 12.122894 38.001935 82.304486 146.102491 227.906004 335.237252